问HN:你认为哪项技能最有可能被人工智能取代的时间最长?

1作者: atleastoptimal10 天前原帖
关于人工智能是否会在所有经济上可行的技能上超越人类(根据某种定义的通用人工智能,AGI),存在很多争论。无论这种情况是否会发生,或者何时发生,许多人已经因为人工智能模型的出现能力而失去了工作,这些能力包括写作、文档分析、设计、艺术等。 这使得许多人感到恐惧,他们担心自己会成为下一个被裁员的人。许多人认为,物理任务需要更长的时间,因为构建、验证和测试类人机器人所需的时间会比某些虚拟人工智能代理更长。然而,许多人相信,无论如何,未来的趋势已经显而易见,从事体力劳动或手工工作的人员所剩的时间也不过比以前的白领阶层多几年。 那么,您认为哪些技能或技能组合在人工智能继续以过去几年速度发展的情况下,能够更安全地保持就业和发挥作用呢?
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There is a lot of debate whether AI will surpass humans in all economically viable skills (AGI, by one definition). Regardless of whether this will happen, or when, many people already have lost their jobs in part due to the emerging capabilities of AI models, including writing, document analysis, design, art, etc.<p>This leaves many in a position where they fear they will be next on the chopping block. Many assume physical tasks will take longer since it will take longer to build up, verify and test humanoid robots vs. some virtual AI agent. However, many believe the writing is on the wall either way, and those in domains involving using their hands or bodies will only have a few more years than the formerly employed white-collar class.<p>Which skills then, or combinations of skills, do you believe will be safest for staying employed and useful if AI continues improving at the rate it has been for the past few years?